微软&AARP研究:临时工& Tech II

一位同事轻描淡写地谴责您的行为,因为他对‘new’Microsoft / AARP研究:

I think the guy offered some thought-provoking possibilities about how we might adopt 和 adapt some technologies in the future: nothing earth-shattering, but slightly value-added.

同事正确。  Anybody interested 应该下载研究.  It’s worth a read.

的article/press release on the 美国退休人员协会site.


美国退休人员协会&微软:技术& Baby Boomers
图片 … Let’看到他们的一些发现如何累积到什么 诺查克 已经预言多年了…  诺查克 预测在将来的帖子中,他将预测他们’大概是错的。

作为 几乎没有错误 占卜者预言到了。 


图片 数字健身。婴儿潮一代将穿着配备传感器的运动服,以跟踪锻炼过程中的身体状况,消耗的卡路里—and  upload it all to an online record. Even their running shoes will contain sensors 和 GPS to provide additional data. Their mobile devices may even be set to (gently) remind them when they're falling behind on their exercise routines.

我不知道以上大部分都赢了’t get tired fast.  How 生物反馈 do you really want to be while taking a walk in the woods or 玩 some doubles?    

蜂鸣器会告诉你’re a lazybones? 一次或两次听起来很有趣,但是很快您就会流汗或打网球’ll put on.  Being wired like a 和roid 和 having to perform 在 specific levels every minute while you’re ‘playing’可能会导致一系列新的焦虑症。   



Doc Me,医生. Once Boomers are confident about security 和 privacy, they will be early adopters of electronic health records—许多人甚至选择将它们植入微小的芯片中。他们将开始在线保存自己的记录,使用数字诊断设备上传体重,血压,胆固醇,甚至是迷你心电图仪的结果。

Is this 新s? 临时工已经结束了 Web MD 和 scores of other medical sites. I belong to one where I can keep track of the few drugs I take 和 lets me know of any contraindications. (而且,有趣的是,该网站提供了转移我的‘medical history’ to 微软’s HealthVault

其实呢’s doctors, hospital administrators, 和 generally anybody involved in the medical industry 正在推动计算机记录. 所有的世代都是受益者(或隐私受到损害–根据您的观点)。


社交网络。对于婴儿潮一代,社交网络将像电话一样普遍—particularly to link them into the lives of their children 和 grandchildren in a way that's unobtrusive yet meaningful. 和 personal videoconferencing will be commonplace: High-definition video cameras on the big screen in the living room will enable regular family-to-family chats.

我想我’m confused.  What is a ‘social network’? 在我看来,这听起来像‘calling grandma 和 grandpa’四十年前,我们所有人都通过了电话。  How is that 社交网络ing?

没有’我在2006年就此发表博客? 的‘high-definition’ part is 新.  That’s about it.


图片 电子游戏热。 临时工将成为视频游戏迷,主要使用动作感应视频游戏机而不是老式的游戏控制器。

再次感到困惑。韩元’t 大家 正在使用“运动感应控制台,而不是老式游戏控制器”?这里的惊人预测到底是什么? 

没有提及脑游戏。 我的猜测是,Boomers将继续玩尖端的视频游戏,但大多数人会在这样做时行使其灰质。  Sure, they’ll打虚拟网球–但是出于某种原因我敢打赌他们’我会喜欢真正的网球。 在某些新奇的装置前扭动,扭曲和摇摆手臂可能会改变方向–但是一生都在纠缠虚拟现实’对我来说似乎不算什么。 

图片 这可能令人尴尬。  It’是遭受运动伤害的荣誉标志,但我’d feel rather silly if I were limping about 和 had to tell everyone, “Wii-ing摔倒了 …”   


就业,临时工风格。 Boomers who are past the 9-to-5 routine but still working part-time will become the masters of tele-presence: videoconferencing with HD 和 surround sound.

再次–这可能是世代相传的标准业务实践。 变化已经‘foretold’由许多未来主义者。


父母。 Boomers will lead the aging-in-place movement with their own parents, wiring their parents' homes with smart sensors that monitor motion, power usage, average conversation levels 和 footstep patterns, 和 that send regular updates that all is well—或建议婴儿潮一代入住,以确保父母还可以。

Some monitoring will take place (it is taking place) but keeping track of every burp 和 twitch … I’m not so sure.


图片家,绿色家园。 的boomer dream home will have a full solar roof, plus energy monitoring that lets residents tailor their usage to maximum efficiency. Domestic robots will be increasingly common appliances, 和 in 新 homes, designers will make kitchens 和 floor plans "robot-friendly."

关键词: 理想的家。这听起来不错。  Let’s hope all this will someday be available 和 affordable for 大家. 微软当然是 从2000年开始推销这些东西.

也许我希望从两位有影响力的人那里获得更深刻的见解  corporate forces.

更新2009年12月9日 劳里·奥尔洛夫(Laurie Orlov)的精彩文章(即使她确实加入了我的行列,也对其进行了严厉批评):

What Boomers Want from Technology 2009 和 other aging theories